The thing about averages is...

Y’know, when we looked at this thing last year we said, “Ok, 5,000 miles—that’s just about an average of 100 miles a week.  100 miles a week is probably do-able.”  But the thing is, that’s an average of 100 miles a week.  We both know that there will be some weeks, like when we’re on vacation (planning a trip to Yellowstone this summer) when we probably won’t get any miles at all.  So that means that we’re going to have to have some weeks in the 200-mile range, or a whole lot of weeks in the 120-150-mile range. 

And, in case there are any engineers or statisticians in the crowd, here’s what I’m thinking:  Even though the calendar week starts on Sunday, and even this whole year started on a Sunday, I believe for this exercise I’m going to consider the week to be Monday through Sunday.  Now, please don’t consider me to be blasphemous for moving Sunday from the first day of the week to the last day—I’m just thinking practically.  After all, we consider the “weekend” to be Saturday & Sunday, right?  And I just think it’ll be easier to keep track of stuff that way since we’ll probably use the weekend to catch up if we’re behind. 

So with all that then, I’m taking the 45 miles from our New Years Day ride out of this week’s total since it was on a Sunday.  That means she only has 60 miles so far this week.  And the overnight low tonight is supposed to get down to the high 30’s.  (That’s the bad news.)  But there’s a club ride that starts at 9:00 tomorrow morning, and by then it might well be back up to decent riding temperatures, like at least the low 40’s, and maybe close to the mid-40’s.  (That’s the good news.)

So let’s see what happens.  When I leave for work tomorrow I’ll make sure she’s up and ready if she wants to go.  If she wants to drive out to the meeting place, I’ll get the bike rack on the car for her and get her stuff ready.  This is that ”iffy” time of year when you never know really what it’s going to feel like.  At least the weekend is supposed to be nice, so if she gets temperatured-out tomorrow, we ought to at least be able to get in some serious miles in the following days.